![]() It’s neither more not less likely that you’ll get the same (or a different) outcome, the probability for each individual result is the same. The probability that you get heads again is still 50/50, not less. You have to keep in mind that, while each coin flip has a 50/50 chance of landing on either side, the previous coin flip (for example, flipping heads) doesn’t influence whether or not the next coin flip will have the same or a different outcome. We tend to think that true randomness and variance is the absence of patterns, but that’s not true and it’s why we think actual randomness isn’t random even if it is. We (humans) have a very specific way of thinking about randomness and variance. And then consider the fact that some people actually think that, or at least something like that. Something that was written specifically to be incredibly over-the-top, super-unrealistic satire that no person with common sense would ever take seriously. Read that article, the quotes at least, they’re not long I promise, and then tell me you don’t think that’s absolutely ridiculous. It’s a satire website and a satire article, and some of those comments are obviously playing along ( socialcontractlawyer did not have to go that hard), but I legitimately can’t tell if a couple of them are being serious or not. Take a look at this article and the comments. ![]() Can we take a second to imagine the level of crazy people complaining about a video game’s shuffler of all things has to spout for them to get their own name? ![]() Now, if you’re not familiar, that term are people who are absolutely convinced that MTGO’s (and, by extension, Arena’s) shuffler is rigged and/or broken, to the point where there’s a name for them.
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